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The Ukraine War and Its Consequences

Post-Economic / 15 May 2025

The Ukraine War and Its Consequences Read More »

Energy pipelines bend south instead of west, excess savings refuse to cross the Pacific, and the bond markets that financed […]

Why the Dollar Just Broke its Downtrend

Post-Economic / 14 May 2025

Why the Dollar Just Broke its Downtrend Read More »

Markets rarely grant the luxury of a single narrative, yet this week they tried. With one well-timed handshake Washington and

The 90-Day Tariffs Reprieve and the Stakes for Growth, Inflation, and Yields

Post-Economic / 13 May 2025

The 90-Day Tariffs Reprieve and the Stakes for Growth, Inflation, and Yields Read More »

By yanking back its April 2 tariff barrage, Washington has frozen the countdown clock on an outright divorce from Beijing—buying

Capital Coming Home: A Euro Investor’s Pivot

Post-Economic / 12 May 2025

Capital Coming Home: A Euro Investor’s Pivot Read More »

Global capital does not pivot quietly. When the math on growth differentials, currency hedging costs and regulatory capital charges flips,

Three Trillion Trapped Dollars

Post-Economic / 11 May 2025

Three Trillion Trapped Dollars Read More »

China is shipping goods, banking the dollars offshore, and sitting on what amounts to a stealth mountain of foreign reserves.

Two Continents, Two Playbooks: Why Europe Cuts While the Fed Waits

Post-Economic / 10 May 2025

Two Continents, Two Playbooks: Why Europe Cuts While the Fed Waits Read More »

Europe’s rate-setters are moving in convoy again, trimming policy levers almost in lockstep even as Washington stands pat. Their logic

Tariff Wars: Starmer’s Two-Way Bet, Trump’s One-Way Ratchet

Post-Economic / 9 May 2025

Tariff Wars: Starmer’s Two-Way Bet, Trump’s One-Way Ratchet Read More »

Trade is turning into a contact sport. In the space of a fortnight Washington has weaponised tariffs, London has sprayed

The Shrinking Moat: Why China’s Private Firms Fear Their Own Local Governments

Post-Economic / 8 May 2025

The Shrinking Moat: Why China’s Private Firms Fear Their Own Local Governments Read More »

China’s private-sector entrepreneurs have long known that their greatest commercial risk is political, not commercial. Yet over the past two

Bundestag Blues: Why One Rebellion Won’t Be the Last

Post-Economic / 7 May 2025

Bundestag Blues: Why One Rebellion Won’t Be the Last Read More »

There is something almost musical about the way modern German politics keeps hitting unexpected minor chords. Just when investors think

From Liberation Day to Liquidation Day? Scenarios for the S&P 500

Post-Economic / 6 May 2025

From Liberation Day to Liquidation Day? Scenarios for the S&P 500 Read More »

Wall Street still can’t choose between February’s peak and April’s trough. Strip away the noise and two actors drive the

From Fat-Finger Rumour to FX Regime Shift in 48 Hours

Post-Economic / 5 May 2025

From Fat-Finger Rumour to FX Regime Shift in 48 Hours Read More »

If you were settling in for the usual post-holiday lull, the screens just administered a wake-up slap: one quiet Friday

Sorting Winners, Losers and Survivors

Post-Economic / 4 May 2025

Sorting Winners, Losers and Survivors Read More »

Markets are no longer trading headlines; they’re trading half-finished White House drafts, leaked talking-points and late-night tweets that may never

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