The Ukraine War and Its Consequences
The Ukraine War and Its Consequences Read More »
Energy pipelines bend south instead of west, excess savings refuse to cross the Pacific, and the bond markets that financed […]
The Ukraine War and Its Consequences Read More »
Energy pipelines bend south instead of west, excess savings refuse to cross the Pacific, and the bond markets that financed […]
Why the Dollar Just Broke its Downtrend Read More »
Markets rarely grant the luxury of a single narrative, yet this week they tried. With one well-timed handshake Washington and
The 90-Day Tariffs Reprieve and the Stakes for Growth, Inflation, and Yields Read More »
By yanking back its April 2 tariff barrage, Washington has frozen the countdown clock on an outright divorce from Beijing—buying
Capital Coming Home: A Euro Investor’s Pivot Read More »
Global capital does not pivot quietly. When the math on growth differentials, currency hedging costs and regulatory capital charges flips,
Three Trillion Trapped Dollars Read More »
China is shipping goods, banking the dollars offshore, and sitting on what amounts to a stealth mountain of foreign reserves.
Two Continents, Two Playbooks: Why Europe Cuts While the Fed Waits Read More »
Europe’s rate-setters are moving in convoy again, trimming policy levers almost in lockstep even as Washington stands pat. Their logic
Tariff Wars: Starmer’s Two-Way Bet, Trump’s One-Way Ratchet Read More »
Trade is turning into a contact sport. In the space of a fortnight Washington has weaponised tariffs, London has sprayed
The Shrinking Moat: Why China’s Private Firms Fear Their Own Local Governments Read More »
China’s private-sector entrepreneurs have long known that their greatest commercial risk is political, not commercial. Yet over the past two
Bundestag Blues: Why One Rebellion Won’t Be the Last Read More »
There is something almost musical about the way modern German politics keeps hitting unexpected minor chords. Just when investors think
From Liberation Day to Liquidation Day? Scenarios for the S&P 500 Read More »
Wall Street still can’t choose between February’s peak and April’s trough. Strip away the noise and two actors drive the
From Fat-Finger Rumour to FX Regime Shift in 48 Hours Read More »
If you were settling in for the usual post-holiday lull, the screens just administered a wake-up slap: one quiet Friday
Sorting Winners, Losers and Survivors Read More »
Markets are no longer trading headlines; they’re trading half-finished White House drafts, leaked talking-points and late-night tweets that may never