Recent developments in US policy have heightened tensions regarding the Ukraine War. A notable shift includes granting Ukraine permission to use long-range missiles for strikes into Russia. This change comes after the Biden administration’s earlier reluctance to provide such capabilities, citing fears of escalation. The new policy rationale is linked to Russia’s reported use of North Korean resources, which the US perceives as an escalation warranting a proportional response. Additionally, Russia’s rapid territorial gains—the fastest since the conflict began—may have prompted the US to act to bolster Ukraine’s position ahead of potential negotiations.
Simultaneously, the Trump transition team has signaled a strong desire to expedite a resolution to the conflict through negotiations, creating a paradoxical situation. The divergence in policy underscores the complexities of the US electoral system, where differing priorities between an outgoing administration and an incoming one can significantly impact foreign policy.
Key Components of a Potential Negotiated Settlement
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